EXPE 2024Q1

Expedia Group, Inc. Common Stock Report Date: May 2, 2024 47 segments 18 speakers alphavantage
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Harshit Vaish CXO SVP, Corporate Development, Strategy and Investor Relations
Sentiment 0.2
Good afternoon, and welcome to Expedia Group's First Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. I'm pleased to be joined on today's call by our CEO, Peter Kern; our CFO, Julie Whalen; and our incoming CEO, Ariane Gorin. As a reminder, our commentary today will include references to certain non-GAAP measures. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP measures are included in our earnings release. And unless otherwise stated, any reference to expenses exclude stock-based compensation. We will also be making forward-looking statements during the call, which are predictions, projections or other statements about future events. These statements are based on current expectations and assumptions, which are subject to risks and uncertainties that are difficult to predict. Actual results could materially differ due to factors discussed during this call, and in our most recent Forms 10-K, 10-Q and other filings with the SEC. Except as required by law, we do not undertake any responsibility to update these forward-looking statements. Our earnings release, SEC filings and a replay of today's call can be found on our Investor Relations website at ir.expediagroup.com. And with that, let me turn the call over to Peter.
Peter Kern CXO CEO
Sentiment 0.3
Good afternoon, and thank you all for joining us today. As you all know by now, this will be my last earnings call. I'm excited to be handing the reins over to Ariane, and we have reserved time for her to share some thoughts after Julie, so you can get a sense of her ambition for the company going forward. Ariane and I have been working closely these last few months to ensure she can take over without a hitch, and I just want to say I'm truly excited to see how she and our team bring this company forward and accelerate on top of everything we have built over these last several years. As for the quarter, we saw a healthy but more normalized market environment for travel globally. North America remains the slowest growing geography relative to major international markets, but the gap is closing now that we are largely past the pandemic-driven recovery. Adjusting for geo and product mix, prices held up in general for lodging but were under continued pressure in the air and car business. Against this backdrop, our results for the first quarter of '24 met our guidance with a revenue and EBITDA beat but less robust gross bookings. Julie will get into the details, but revenue and EBITDA performance benefited from our mix of business, a strong performance in our advertising business, and our decision to invest more in pricing actions as opposed to direct marketing. As for gross bookings, our B2B business continued its strong performance, and our B2C business, excluding Vrbo, was in line with our expectations. Unfortunately, that only partly made up for a slower-than-expected ramp-up for Vrbo post its technical migration. As we discussed last quarter, we had pulled back on Vrbo marketing in the second half of last year while we went through our migration. And while we have been ramping that spend and the product has been improving, we have seen a slower-than-expected recovery. Based on this and the overall trends in our B2C business so far in Q2, we expect growth to be lower than what we had initially anticipated for '24. We are, therefore, lowering our full year guidance to a range of mid- to high single-digit top line growth, with margins relatively in line with last year. We still expect to see broad improvement across '24 in our B2C business, with the best early indicator being the conversion gains we have seen driven by higher test velocity and future rollouts. Behind that, we will continue to invest in Vrbo and our international growth markets to reignite those flywheels to set us up for continued growth in the years to come. All in all, I'm pleased to say that while momentum is not yet back consistently in all the business lines, we are improving every day, wanting to optimize all of our new capabilities, and I have tremendous faith in our team's ability to extract the full potential of what we have built. With that, I will just close by expressing my profound appreciation to all our teams at Expedia for their dedication throughout our multiyear, often painful, transformation journey. When the returns from this work are fully realized, we will owe this determined bunch of people a great debt of gratitude. I also want to thank all of you, our existing shareholders, the analysts covering us, and the broader investor community who have been with us along this sometimes bumpy journey. There's a reason most companies don't undertake transformation on this scale, and it takes patience and a commitment to understanding to come along for this journey. I'm very appreciative of all the constructive engagement over the years, and it has been a pleasure working with all of you. So with that, over to Julie.
Julie Whalen CXO CFO
Sentiment 0.4
Thank you, Peter, and good afternoon, everyone. Let me start with the key metrics for the first quarter. Total gross bookings of $30.2 billion were up 3% versus last year. Growth was driven primarily by total lodging gross bookings, which grew 4%, led by our hotel business growing 12%. This strong hotel growth was partially offset by the ongoing softness in our Vrbo business that, while improving, is taking longer than expected to fully recover. Revenue of $2.9 billion grew 8% versus last year, led by B2B, Brand Expedia and our advertising businesses. The revenue strength was driven by higher revenue margins, which increased over 50 basis points from a product and geo mix during the quarter, increased advertising revenue, which contributes to revenue but not gross bookings, and the pull-in of stays in Q1 driven by the Easter shift. Cost of sales was $356 million for the quarter and $55 million or 13% lower versus last year, which, combined with our strong revenue growth, drove approximately 310 basis points of leverage as a percentage of revenue year-over-year. We are pleased to see our ongoing initiatives delivering transactional efficiencies. Direct sales and marketing expense in the first quarter was $1.7 billion, which was up 11% versus last year. Sales and marketing deleveraged this quarter as a percentage of gross bookings primarily due to commissions to our partners as a result of our strong growth in our B2B business with growth of 25%. As we have stated previously, commissions paid to our B2B partners are in our direct sales and marketing line and are more expensive as a percentage of revenue than our B2C business. However, because they are generally paid on a per-stay basis to contractually agreed upon percentages, the returns are more guaranteed and immediate. In our B2C business, we also saw some marketing deleverage this quarter as we reinvested back into our Vrbo business to drive improving growth and our increased investments to drive our global market expansion, one of our key strategic growth initiatives this year. Overhead expenses were $611 million, an increase of $23 million versus last year or 4%, leveraging 95 basis points. We were able to drive our costs below our revenue growth, particularly in our product and tech operations, and now that we are done with the major boulders of platform migration, we remain committed to driving further efficiencies across our P&L. To that end, in February, we announced cost actions that will impact approximately 1,500 employees through this year. We expect that these actions will unlock substantial savings on an annualized basis across capitalized labor, cost of sales and overhead costs. And as a result of all of these factors, we delivered strong first quarter EBITDA of $255 million, which was up 38% year-over-year, with an EBITDA margin of 8.8%, expanding over 190 basis points year-over-year. This was higher than expected given the higher revenue we delivered and the leverage to the P&L that provides, along with lower cost of sales, both of which more than offset our marketing investments to drive future growth. It is also important to note that EBITDA also benefited from a decision we made to invest more in pricing actions as opposed to additional direct marketing. These pricing actions are reflected in the P&L when the stay occurs. Starting this quarter, in addition to EBITDA, we are providing additional disclosure around our EBIT performance, which includes the impact of stock-based compensation, depreciation and amortization. In the first quarter, EBIT was negative $59 million with a margin of negative 2.1%, an improvement of $51 million or 205 basis points versus last year. The additional approximately 15 basis points of expansion as compared to EBITDA is driven by leverage from stock-based compensation. Our first quarter EBITDA growth enabled us to generate another quarter of robust free cash flow at $2.7 billion. The year-over-year decline in free cash flow is associated with timing changes within working capital, which includes lower deferred merchant bookings, primarily driven by the softness in Vrbo bookings this quarter. Moving on to our balance sheet. We ended the quarter with strong liquidity of $8.2 billion, driven by our unrestricted cash balance of $5.7 billion and our undrawn revolving line of credit of $2.5 billion. Our debt level remains at approximately $6.3 billion with an average cost at only 3.7%. Our gross leverage ratio at a further reduced 2.3x continues to make progress towards our target gross leverage ratio of 2x, driven by our ongoing strong EBITDA growth. Our strong cash position enabled us to continue repurchasing shares with over $780 million or approximately 5.7 million shares repurchased year-to-date, and we continue to believe that our stock remains undervalued and does not reflect our expected long-term performance of the business. As such, we will utilize the strong cash-generating power of our business and our remaining $4.1 billion share repurchase authorization to continue to buy back our stock opportunistically. As far as our financial outlook, given the lower-than-expected growth in gross bookings in the first quarter and the trends we are seeing so far in the second quarter in our B2C business, in particular in Vrbo, we are lowering our full year guidance to reflect the range of possible outcomes on the top line while we continue to invest in marketing to drive growth for Vrbo and international markets. As such, we believe our top line growth will now be in the range of mid- to high single-digit growth with EBITDA and EBIT margins relatively in line with last year. In the shorter term, we expect our second quarter to deliver top line growth in the mid-single digits, which reflects a sequential acceleration in gross bookings from the first quarter as we expect Vrbo to continue to improve from our marketing investments. We expect revenue growth to be lower than the first quarter growth rate given the lower gross bookings in the first quarter, the pull forward of Easter stays into the first quarter, and the contra revenue arising from pricing actions. And with this revenue growth, along with our continued investments in marketing to drive growth, we expect some pressure in our second quarter EBITDA and EBIT margins versus last year. However, when combined with our first quarter outperformance, we expect EBITDA and EBIT margins to be relatively in line with last year to slightly above in the first half. In closing, despite the lower guidance, we remain committed to the long-term opportunity that our transformation has given us to deliver profitable growth and shareholder returns. And with that, let me turn the call over to Ariane.
Ariane Gorin CXO Incoming CEO
Sentiment 0.7
Thanks, Julie, and thank you, Peter, for your leadership over the last 4 years and for all I've learned working closely with you. I joined our company 11 years ago and most recently led Expedia for Business. This includes our B2B and advertising businesses, both of which have consistently delivered double-digit growth. I also led our global supply teams that source inventory for our whole company, so I know our industry very well. And having lived in Europe for the last 23 years, I've seen firsthand opportunity for us in international markets. My immediate priority as CEO is to work with our teams to accelerate our growth and to sharpen the longer-term strategy for our consumer business. Since our leadership announcement in February, I've spent time getting to know our consumer business in more detail. It's undergone extreme transformation over the last few years, from technical migrations and changes in our loyalty program to changes in how our teams operate the business. So we've dealt with a lot of turbulence. While we built new capabilities like our common front end, we have less development capacity to build new features, and this, in turn, impacted the competitiveness of some of our brands and products. Expedia, which was our least disrupted brand, benefited a lot from our investments and has grown very well, while Hotels.com and Vrbo, which were the most impacted by our migrations, aren't where we'd like them to be. To get the acceleration we want from our consumer business, we need to focus on the basics: driving traffic, increasing conversion and expanding our margins through higher attach, take rates and more efficient marketing. Ultimately, this is going to come down to having great products and great brand value propositions. Our platform now allows us to innovate at scale, and we're running more tests and seeing the benefits of AI across all of our brands, which is great. But we're still learning to use all of this most effectively. For example, a recommendation algorithm gets smarter faster because of our scale, but it has to be trained on the differences between a traveler shopping on Vrbo compared to one on Expedia. And tests that work on one brand may behave differently on another. While we still have some work to fully complete our tech platform, moving forward, we'll dedicate more of our development capacity to building great traveler experiences and making up for lost time. Looking ahead, while it's going to take somewhat longer than we'd anticipated to see the benefits come through in our numbers, the investments we've made rebuilding our consumer business will pay off. Our new tech platform gives us a solid foundation to grow our business, and we also have other real strengths to build on. We're leaders in the B2B segment and just posted another fantastic quarter, and there's still a big opportunity to win share. Our advertising business is big, differentiated and growing, and I equally see lots of opportunity ahead here. We have strong relationships with our supply partners and great supply for our travelers. And of course, our consumer business is the market leader in the U.S., with well-recognized and loved brands, and we're starting to get traction as we move back into international markets. As you know, we're also focused on driving efficiencies, and we'll continue to look carefully at every dollar we invest. So in closing, we have great consumer brands, a leading B2B business, a powerful platform, and what I think is the best team in travel. We have lots of work to do to realize our potential, and I couldn't be more excited about the opportunity ahead. And with that, let me open the call for questions.
Eric Sheridan Analyst Analyst
Sentiment 0.3
Wishing you the best going forward, Peter, and congrats on the new role, Ariane. Peter, maybe can we come back to Vrbo for a minute and just how do you think about that asset compared to where the competitive landscape is across travel and shared accommodation specifically? And when you think about leaning into investments to potentially accelerate Vrbo and improve its positioning, what kind of signals are you guys as a team looking for to know it's the moment to sort of lean in behind some of those investments to get it back to more normalized growth?
Peter Kern CXO CEO
Sentiment 0.5
Thanks, Eric. I've asked Ariane to contribute her insights during these questions as well. Regarding Vrbo, we believe we are very strong in our core business, which does not directly compete with shared accommodations or some competitors in various markets. Our focus is on excelling in the whole home space in areas where we can succeed, backed by a strong brand and solid supply. Currently, this is our main priority. We experienced a decline in spending in the latter half of last year, which impacted the product. The first quarter is crucial for Vrbo, so it was disappointing that performance wasn't as robust as we hoped. However, we are seeing genuine improvements in the products, and we're committed to investing further to reinvigorate growth. Vrbo is less influenced by performance marketing, so we can't just increase spending on platforms like Meta quickly. We need to focus on building our brand, which takes time. We are optimistic about the advancements we are making. We are confident that our investments are effective, and we are driving improvements. The key now is understanding how quickly and to what extent we can achieve that growth, considering timing and seasonal variations. This year, we are directing our spending to return to a growth trajectory.
Ariane Gorin CXO Incoming CEO
Sentiment 0.6
And I would just add, again, yes, we have deep belief and conviction in Vrbo and also our other brands of Expedia and Hotels.com. We do sell some alternative accommodations on those brands, so we also have an opportunity to go after that market with those brands as well.
Lee Horowitz Analyst Analyst
Sentiment 0.2
Great. I guess previously, your guidance for the full year seemingly expected share gains across your largest business lines. Is there any change to that view, given sort of the more cautious outlook for the full year? Or is this really all Vrbo-centric? And then relatedly, when you think about the acceleration you're seeing in your non-Vrbo B2C business, what's ultimately going on there? Is it the market? Is it just the stacking of the things that you're doing? And how do you get comfortable that, that acceleration can sustain through the balance of the year?
Peter Kern CXO CEO
Sentiment 0.4
Thank you, Lee. Let me address both parts. Regarding the non-Vrbo segment, we are consistently improving our product. Hotels.com underwent a migration some time ago, but we are still enhancing it and working to get it back to its best state. We are experiencing ongoing improvements in the product, with significant successes across the platform driven by machine learning and other areas that we can implement quickly across our suite of apps and products. We are seeing wins in product and conversion, which builds our confidence. All of this ultimately results in better conversion rates, more efficient marketing, and additional advantages. While we wish the progress could be quicker, we are encouraged by advancements in the non-Vrbo business. As for the share gains, we are observing positive trends in our core hotel business across North America and nearly all of our key markets. Although Vrbo is showing a decline in share, we are gaining ground in hotel lodging. Both Airbnb and Booking are competing in the VR space, particularly in city-centric accommodations, which we don’t primarily target. However, in the hotel sector, we are achieving strong growth, and we are continuously improving our other product lines, confident that these investments will yield positive results.
Richard Clarke Analyst Analyst
Sentiment 0.1
Just you mentioned you're deciding now to pivot towards more price investment. Just wondering, is that backing up One Key? Is that going into the loyalty? And maybe overall, what's just leading to that decision to do that rather than more marketing?
Peter Kern CXO CEO
Sentiment 0.3
I'll take a piece and Ariane can jump in. I would just say, we've said it before, but we look at all our marketing, all our things to drive consumer behavior as one big bucket of capital. So that's direct sales and marketing, it's the pricing work we do, merchandising work, and it's our loyalty spend. So what we saw was an opportunity, what we've been seeing is an opportunity to drive more into the pricing vein, where there have been good returns. We've seen good opportunity there. And this is basically just a way to modify prices, taking value out of our margins to drive more velocity, acquire more customers and do it more efficiently. So it's really just a rebalancing, a little bit towards pricing, and that's what we've done.
Ariane Gorin CXO Incoming CEO
Sentiment 0.5
And I would just add, as Peter said, we think about those buckets of pricing, of loyalty and of marketing sort of as all buckets that we can use to invest where we see opportunities. And going forward, we'll continue to do that. So which of those three will drive the most growth, whether it's in international, regardless of what brand it is, I think the teams have a very dialed-in view of where they can invest in order to get the best return.
Richard Clarke Analyst Analyst
Sentiment 0.1
Maybe just a follow-up on whether this is going into the One Key program disproportionately, maybe matching one of your peers which has a more, I guess, price-oriented loyalty program rather than a points loyalty program.
Ariane Gorin CXO Incoming CEO
Sentiment 0.4
Well, what I would say is part of our One Key program does include tiered member discounts. So if you're a silver member or a gold member, you'll get better discounts. And those are actually supplier-funded discounts. Those are when our hotels, for example, want to get access to the more valuable members who travel more, who spend more. So I don't know if that's what you're referring to, but that program is a supplier-funded program, and it's one of the benefits of One Key.
Peter Kern CXO CEO
Sentiment 0.3
Yes. I think, Richard, just to think about it as clearly as we can give it to you, there's three opportunities. There's what Ariane just described, which is we've been able to get our customers more benefit, more tiered benefits, all of that provided by our suppliers akin to some of what you've seen from some of our competition. We also have discounting we do specifically that I mentioned to win on price and acquire customers efficiently. And then in One Key itself, we have the opportunity now, which is awesome, to allow us to give benefit to One Key customers to create activity, create shopping, to give them incentives and other things. So there is a bit of that, that goes through that as well. But the big buckets are really the pricing and the core loyalty that are still strong, and those are the largest buckets of spend.
Julie Whalen CXO CFO
Sentiment 0.3
And just to put a pin on it, obviously, we made the decision based on what is the best return. I mean at the end of the day, that's what we do. We look at everything and what are we going to get the best return for our spend, and at this moment, we saw that the pricing actions were going better than any other options. And so obviously, it creates some noise in the P&L that you're seeing, but because it doesn't get impacted to the P&L until you actually have a stay, so it's a little bit of a timing situation, but at the end of the day, that's what we're focused on, is driving the best return.
Trevor Young Analyst Analyst
Sentiment 0.2
Great. Ariane, I think you commented that Hotels.com isn't where you'd like it to be. Can you expand on that a little bit and what you hope to achieve with that brand? And then bigger picture, what are the areas or opportunities you get most excited about beyond the next few years? Is it something like experiences in a more holistic interconnected trip? Is it AI driving a better consumer experience? Or something else altogether?
Ariane Gorin CXO Incoming CEO
Sentiment 0.7
Okay. Trevor, thank you for the question. Look, let me just start by reminding you that we run our consumer business as a whole portfolio. And so we invest behind where we see the best return. And so in some cases, that may mean some brands versus others. And Hotels.com was the most impacted by our migrations. And as I said, it's not where we want it to be. It's not growing. And again, it was impacted by a number of things. So the first was the product migration, which, when we went through it, obviously had an impact on its performance. The second was we made a big change in the loyalty program. We're very excited about what One Key can and will deliver, but it's true that for Hotels.com, it is a bigger change in the loyalty program with less earn. Also Hotels.com was the most international of our brands, so over the last few years as we've leaned less into international, Hotels.com has been impacted. And then as I said, when you have the change in the product, we were getting better returns, for example, on Expedia, so leaning in there. The good news is that, one, we're seeing really great conversion gains on the lodging path, which, of course, benefits Hotels.com. Two, as we go back into international, because Hotels.com is our lead brand in a number of those countries, we're going to see good growth there. So I think the ambition is to get Hotels.com obviously benefiting from the platform and international growth. And just in terms of what I get excited about, look, there are a lot of things. I think probably AI and opportunity with AI, and especially now with our platform, given that we have one platform across all of our brands so we can move faster in the way that we're learning, I think, is going to have a bigger opportunity than ever to deliver personalized experiences for travelers. So of course, I can tell you I'm excited about advertising, I'm excited about B2B. There are a lot of parts of our business. But I think fundamentally, it's how is technology going to allow us to deliver traveler experiences that are truly personalized. And when we do that and as we're doing that, I think that will really differentiate us.
Conor Cunningham Analyst Analyst
Sentiment 0.1
Can you provide an update on how One Key is currently performing? I understand it's still early, but considering the slower than anticipated results from Vrbo and Hotels.com, could this affect the pace at which international expansion occurs this year or possibly next year?
Ariane Gorin CXO Incoming CEO
Sentiment 0.6
So I'm happy to share that on One Key, we launched it last summer with the goal of increasing membership, encouraging repeat visits, and promoting shopping across our brands. Member growth in our loyalty programs has increased by 40% year-on-year, which we are really pleased about. We are also seeing good repeat rates. Interestingly, 25% of individuals who have redeemed their One Key cash on Vrbo, which they earned through Hotels.com or Expedia, are completely new to Vrbo. This reassures us about the potential to attract more travelers through the One Key program. We are planning to roll it out internationally later this year.
Naved Khan Analyst Analyst
Sentiment 0.1
I have two questions. First, regarding Vrbo, could you elaborate on whether you are focusing more on top-of-funnel traffic issues or conversion? What specific areas are you looking to refine, and what gives you confidence that Vrbo will rebound? Secondly, I would like to ask about the international market. You mentioned entering new markets this year and investing in advertising in those regions. When can we expect to see financial contributions from these new markets?
Peter Kern CXO CEO
Sentiment 0.5
Sure. Let me address that. First, for Vrbo, the main issue is traffic. Last year, we reduced our spending while the product was undergoing migration, which negatively impacted conversion and our awareness-building efforts. Now that we're focusing on rebuilding awareness, we are seeing positive results. The product is converting well and improving rapidly, benefiting from the new single stack system. Many of the successful elements from our other offerings are also effective for Vrbo, leading to quicker gains in conversion. However, we need to focus on rebuilding traffic. As mentioned, One Key is assisting with that, but Vrbo customers typically do not travel frequently. They might travel once a year or even less, so the advantages of the One Key program will take time to accumulate and drive long-term benefits. We are working on increasing overall traffic and awareness, and we are making progress, albeit not as quickly as anticipated. On the international front, we have seen promising returns in various markets we have entered. We are trying different approaches now that we have improved the product, with a stronger focus on performance marketing in some areas and brand marketing in others. Overall, the response has been positive and we believe it is contributing to our growth. However, North America is such a large market that it can obscure these gains in the overall numbers. As mentioned, we began reinvesting in international markets this year to foster long-term growth, and as these markets thrive, we will continue to invest in additional ones where we believe we can succeed and regain market share.
Julie Whalen CXO CFO
Sentiment 0.4
We have seen some short-term wins. And Peter is right, it's going to take a while to really see it in the P&L from your perspective because there's an investment time period, you have to build it up to get the return. But in international markets, in small ones like Brazil and Scandinavia, where we launched new campaigns, we did see double-digit growth on our brands there. So that's already reflected in our numbers, but they're not all in the total, we are seeing the benefits flow through.
Jacob Seed Analyst Analyst
Sentiment 0.1
This is Jacob on for Kevin. For Ariane, on the B2B side, can you comment on concentration within B2B, how large your top few customers and how many customers do you have? And also I wanted to know if there's any impact for regulatory changes from Google, any positive benefits there?
Ariane Gorin CXO Incoming CEO
Sentiment 0.2
I believe the first question was about our B2B business and customer concentration. While we don't share specific details about customer concentration, I can say that our B2B business includes both large partners, such as banks and airlines, as well as a diverse range of smaller travel agencies. Overall, it’s a well-balanced business. Additionally, the B2B sector is well-distributed not only in terms of customer types but also geographically. The second part of your question was regarding changes...
Peter Kern CXO CEO
Sentiment 0.1
In terms of our core B2C business, not really. I think Google is still trying to push back. They've introduced some new features in the hotel funnel, like Carousels and other elements. While we're hoping for assistance from regulators where we operate, they continue to seek new ways to monetize and drive SEO traffic downward. So, no real noticeable impact.
Jacob Seed Analyst Analyst
Sentiment 0.1
One more on traffic on how big the...
Ariane Gorin CXO Incoming CEO
Sentiment 0.0
Sorry, it's really hard to hear.
Peter Kern CXO CEO
Sentiment 0.3
I don't think we provide commentary on that. I would say about two-thirds of our business still comes from direct traffic, and we've seen strong improvement in the app, as we've been focusing on it for several years. There has been a 600 basis points improvement in the amount of our business that comes through the app. This continues to be an area we are investing in and is definitely a priority for the future as we aim to drive more direct traffic. We also expect One Key to assist with this over time. Many factors contribute to this ongoing increase, and so far, the improvements have been positive.
Robert Analyst Analyst
Sentiment 0.2
This is Robert on for Ron. One question for you on GenAI. Can you guys share some of the learnings maybe following the launch of EG Labs last year? What are some of the products you guys are most excited about? I guess at what point do you expect these products to come to market and start to change the way users search for travel?
Peter Kern CXO CEO
Sentiment 0.5
Yes. We've done a lot of experimentation in GenAI, obviously, user-facing as well as within the company from an efficiency standpoint, from customer service, all kinds of places. And I won't steal any thunder, but Ariane and the team will be announcing a lot of really cool new things at our EXPLORE Conference in 10 days or 2 weeks. But basically, it is early days as far as the search approach goes. It's still pretty modest in terms of how many people use it, certainly in terms of its impact on conversion or anything else. But early is good in the GenAI space because it gives you time to experiment and learn, and we've learned a lot, and that's going to guide to a bunch of new things that our customers are going to see in the coming year. So there's a lot of new impact from it. There's also a lot of impact, as we've talked about before, from old-fashioned machine learning driving all kinds of wins across the product. And as I mentioned, much more at scale because they can be deployed much more readily across all brands and across different lines of business. So we're having really good wins, I would say, from machine learning and AI, but the coolest, newest things we really think will impact consumer behavior and experience are still coming and Ariane and the team will get to tell the world about those in a week or so.
Ariane Gorin CXO Incoming CEO
Sentiment 0.6
Yes. I would just add, as Peter said, we're excited to share some things in a couple of weeks at our partner conference. And again, in addition to what we're doing for travelers, there's a lot of work that we're experimenting with for partners. How do we help partners use GenAI to better show their inventory in our apps or in our brands? How do we allow them to use GenAI to improve their advertising with us? There's work, as Peter said, with our customer support organization. How do they use it to be more effective? Our development teams, even our commercial teams are looking at, are there pilots for how we can use those to be more effective as well, so I think it's really going to touch every part of the internal organization as well as how travelers search and book.
Mark Mahaney Analyst Analyst
Sentiment 0.1
Can I ask two questions? First is, any new thoughts on further managing or paring down costs? Where are you in terms of kind of rethinking reengineering the cost structure? It may well be that you finished all that sort of work, but just asking. And then secondly, I think it's been a while since you've talked about what percentage of your products that are sold, units, services that are sold, are bundled? Do you have an update on that? And what I'm particularly interested in is whether things like AI, particularly mobile apps, have really led to a greater ability to cross-sell travel products, to bundle travel products, in a way that wasn't the case in the past.
Julie Whalen CXO CFO
Sentiment 0.5
Mark, thanks for the question. I'll take the cost question. I would say that literally, we are just getting started. So I mean, we did have an announcement back in February where we impacted about 1,500 associates. We're still on the journey of that. We haven't done all of that yet. You can see some of the savings already coming through in the P&L within cost of sales and within overhead and also within capitalized labor. And there's more of that to come. It should be substantial savings on an annualized basis, again, hitting all three of those lines, of course, capitalized labor, you won't see in the P&L, even in EBIT because the capitalized software is amortized over three years, but you'll see it billed as we continue to move forward. But I think even as Ariane said, we're looking at every single line to drive efficiencies. And so we have kicked off a few projects to go through and really sort of push on the P&L. So we think there's an incredible opportunity to drive cost efficiencies, and obviously, as we deprecate more systems, we come out of this other side of the migration side of it, there's going to be a lot of opportunity to bring the cost down going forward.
Ariane Gorin CXO Incoming CEO
Sentiment 0.8
And I'm happy to take the second part about products that we bundle. Look, we don't disclose what percentage of our business comes from packages or from cross-sell. But what I would tell you is, one, a unique value proposition of the Brand Expedia is our package path and this ability to dynamically bundle an air ticket with a hotel and the like. And we're seeing really good results as we continue to lean into the package path, and we think it's a great value proposition. And then when you think about sort of the cross-sell and attach, which again has always been one of our strategies, I mean, for as long as I've been at Expedia Group, it has been. It is true that with machine learning, you can get a lot smarter in understanding what is the next best thing to propose to a traveler. What are they most likely to attach, given what we know about them, given what we know about what they're doing in that trip plan? So I think we have lots of ambitions around cross-sell and attach and what machine learning can do to help us there.
Alec Analyst Analyst
Sentiment 0.2
This is Alec on for Ken. I appreciate the question. B2B has grown faster than the overall corporate growth rate for a while now. A question we get from investors a lot is how to think about the long-term growth rate. It seems like there's been some transient benefits to the business, whether it's been the recovery of corporate travel or exposure to Asia Pacific. And so when we normalize for those factors, I guess, how do you think about B2B growth over the medium to long term?
Ariane Gorin CXO Incoming CEO
Sentiment 0.5
Yes. Look, we're not sharing projections of how we see things long term. I guess I would just remind everyone that there's a huge market out there for travel. And our B2B business serves a lot of different types of partners, whether they're airlines, whether they're banks. Last year, we launched a partnership with Walmart. We work with offline travel agencies. We work all over the world. So I would just say even if it has certainly been growing at a very fast clip for the last few years, we continue to have big ambitions for that business. And as we think about our investments in technology, in our supply, and in our teams and our partner relationships, I think we've got really great assets to continue being leaders in B2B.
Jed Kelly Analyst Analyst
Sentiment 0.2
Great. Can you just sort of dive into some of the mechanics around the recent head count reduction? How much of that is coming out of capitalized software versus how much can be reinvested into marketing? And then in your hotel segment, great to see double-digit growth. Can you talk about how that's trending in North America relative to international?
Julie Whalen CXO CFO
Sentiment 0.4
Sure. I'll take the cost actions question. We have not broken out in detail how much is impacting each line. As I mentioned, you can see it within cost of sales improvements, you could see it in the overhead improvements, you can kind of deduce how much of that is due to that. But you can also see it in our capital labor, in our capital expenditures, at least this quarter, how they've come down. A significant portion of that is associated with capital labor. I think the reason why we didn't want to unpack it all, especially this year, is there's a lot of moving parts. Like I said, hitting across three lines, cost of sales, overhead and capital labor. Most of it or a significant piece of it is capital labor, and it is a partial year for the savings. And as you asked, we are going to be taking some of that savings, which is implied within our guidance, and reinvesting it back into marketing. But on an annualized basis, on a go-forward basis, it's substantial and will hit across those three lines.
Peter Kern CXO CEO
Sentiment 0.5
Yes. And I'll just jump in on the hotel segment. I mean, obviously, a couple of things to keep in mind. It's all our businesses. As Ariane mentioned, our B2B business has more exposure to international, so that has some of the better tailwinds, has been in international. Our international investments have been doing well, but that's a fairly small part of our B2C business and all. So the short answer is yes, the hotel segment is growing more outside the U.S. just because of tailwinds. But we are growing it in the U.S. and we are taking share in the U.S. So both are good. We'd obviously love it if the U.S. had tailwinds of 10% macro growth, but it doesn't. But we are growing and we are growing share in the U.S., and as I mentioned, growing share in most of our focus markets. And then B2B benefits from a little more geographical diversity into Asia and LatAm and other places that are growing a bit faster.
Justin Post Analyst Analyst
Sentiment 0.2
I want to explore Vrbo a bit further. There was a significant increase in customers during the pandemic, and it seemed like your app distribution strategy was effective. What factors are falling short of your expectations? Is it related to the paid channels or the challenge of reactivating customers to achieve higher repeat rates? What is your plan to address this? Additionally, could you share any insights on the trends between Vrbo and your core business? There are a lot of estimates circulating about whether it's declining, so any commentary you can provide would be appreciated.
Peter Kern CXO CEO
Sentiment 0.3
Yes, I'll start with the negative news. We aren’t able to provide details on the splits as we don’t measure the business that way. However, I can share that we experienced a significant surge during the pandemic, which helped us attract customers and benefited our Vrbo operations. It's important to note that we are currently performing well above our 2019 levels. Overall, the category has seen a sustained boost. On the downside, we are not satisfied with our current situation. As we've mentioned before, we had to take a step back to move forward. This involved changing the Vrbo product and going through a migration process. During this transition, we didn’t believe we could efficiently allocate our resources to Vrbo. We are now focused on reclaiming customers and attracting new ones through enhanced marketing and investment. However, demand for Vrbo in North America is currently flat, meaning we lack the growth momentum that was previously present. Despite this, we are confident in having the best product and believe that One Key adds significant value. We have strong supply and need to bring back customers who may have experienced the challenges during the migration. One Key will also help us attract not just Vrbo customers, but also those from Expedia and Hotels.com, which have a larger overall customer base. We have various tools at our disposal and are actively utilizing them now that we have completed the migration and are satisfied with the product experience. We will continue to improve it. We are in a good position to invest and expect to see a return, knowing that our product will resonate with customers once they engage with us. This is the context we are working within, and we are committed to making progress after losing some ground, and now we need to win it back.
Tom Champion Analyst Analyst
Sentiment 0.2
Ariane, the business remains in transition, and it seems to be maybe a difficult period. I'm just curious how you think about your priorities over the next quarter or two. Tactically, where are you going to allocate your time and really focus first? And then for Julie, I'm wondering if you can just elaborate a little bit on the margin commentary for full year and your expectations. There's a head count reduction. The tech stack being migrated would seem to be a cost savings. Where are you going to be investing such that margins will be more similar to last year versus maybe improving?
Ariane Gorin CXO Incoming CEO
Sentiment 0.5
Thanks, Tom. As I look ahead to the next quarter or two, stepping into the CEO role provides a fresh perspective for me, even after 11 years in this industry. I plan to listen and learn from our teams in the coming months. We have established strong foundations, and as I mentioned earlier, a key focus will be on helping the teams concentrate on the essentials of traffic and conversion to achieve the growth outlined in our guidance. Part of this will involve ensuring the team emphasizes short-term execution for acceleration while also identifying areas where we might need to adapt for our long-term growth. I anticipate spending considerable time with our internal teams and partners, and I feel fortunate to work with a motivated team that is eager to succeed. I'm looking forward to collaborating closely with them in the months ahead.
Julie Whalen CXO CFO
Sentiment 0.4
And then on the margins question, now going to relatively in line with last year as opposed to margin expansion, it's really a function of where we end up in the range of possible outcomes on the top line. Because we're still generating cost of sales leverage, we're still generating overhead leverage, we're still motivated, obviously, to get back to marketing leverage. It's just a function of where we see the ramp-up in the back half and what spot on the top line we end up being at. And so we want to make sure we give ourselves enough room to be able to make the investments that we need to make in Vrbo to reinvigorate that brand, and in our international markets to obviously support our growth initiative to expand outside the U.S. And so that gives us that opportunity.
Peter Kern CXO CEO
Sentiment 0.2
Thank you, everybody. I think that's our last call. Thank you, operator. I think we're finished.
Operator Operator Operator
Sentiment 0.0
This concludes today's call. You may now disconnect your lines. Have a nice day.